AGI, Artificial General Intelligence, has been at the forefront of the news for a few years now and there is no shortage of theories on how it will impact humanity. Here are the things I believe to be true and how it will change the world.
These statements are not meant to be alarmist. This is simply a chronology of expected events based on what we’ve been observing in the past few years.
- A large percentage of employed people are doing jobs they do not enjoy simply because they require an income and they are restricted to the employment options available to them locally. These jobs tend to be repetitive tasks.
- AGI, coupled with humanoid robotics, will be able to perform most repetitive human tasks by 2030.
- Business owners, particularly in labor-intensive industries will determine that humanoid robots are more efficient than employing actual humans.
- By 2035, humanoid robots will be widely used in many industries and upwards of 30% of the population will not be employable due to the fact that the jobs they previously held will not be available to humans.
At this stage in the event cycle, there will be widespread unemployment and ever-growing income disparity and poverty, even in developed countries. This shift in the paradigm cannot go unresolved. I expect the following events to occur once critical mass is reached.
- Individual humans will be categorized or employable or unemployable based on what skill sets they have relative to what AGI humanoids have been trained to do.
- The government will have no choice but to establish standardized neighborhoods for the unemployable. These neighborhoods will have to provide the lifestyle necessities for its residents. Picture large neighborhoods where each family gets a quarter-acre, a bungalow, food, energy, healthcare and any other base human needs.
- Funding for these neighborhoods is up for debate but it will be fair to say that only a handful of major companies will monopolize the bulk of the AGI/humanoid market and one way or another the funding will be sourced from these companies. Arguably, it would be wise for these companies to embrace the funding as they need the population to support AGI, not oppose it. No one is looking for a revolution.
- These neighborhoods will be touted as an age of abundance. This message may be accepted by most but will be vehemently opposed by some.
Whether my predictions are right, wrong or half-right; AGI and humanoid robotics will change the world for everyone and it is going to happen faster than we think.
